Type Tracking

Is the cold front on your doorstep a growing, storm-laden monster with 50-knot winds or is it a nonevent, a mere wind-shift in clear skies? Although little advertised, there is a way to decode a front's intensity and trend. It's hidden in the chapter on surface analysis charts in the FAA's Aviation Weather Services, or AC-00-45E. To see the code in action, visit the Web site (www.awc-kc.noaa.gov/awc/aviation_weather_center.html) and click on the "surface analysis chart" link. The code uses three numbers in sequence, and it's printed near the plotted front's surface position. Here's how to break the code:

The first number indicates the type of front:

1

Quasi-stationary at surface

2

Quasi-stationary above surface

3

Warm front at surface

4

Warm front above surface

5

Cold front at surface

6

Cold front above surface

7

Occlusion

8

Instability (squall) line

9

Intertropical front

10

Convergence line

 

The second number indicates the intensity of the front:

1

No specification

2

Weak, decreasing

3

Weak, little or no change

4

Weak, increasing

5

Moderate, decreasing

6

Moderate, little or no change

7

Moderate, increasing

8

Strong, decreasing

9

Strong, little or no change

10

Strong, increasing

 

The third number indicates what the National Weather Service calls the character of the front:

1

No specification

2

Frontal area activity, decreasing

3

Frontal area activity, little change

4

Frontal area activity, increasing

5

Intertropical

6

Forming or existence expected

7

Quasi-stationary

8

With waves

9

Diffuse

10

Position doubtful

 

AOPA Wx Watch - Winter Wise - More fronts, moving faster

BY THOMAS A. HORNE (From AOPA Pilot, December 2001.)